Sunday, 9 June 2019

338 Federal Projection Update: June 9th 2019

We add these new polls to the 338 federal model this week:


The complete list of federal polls is available here. Here is the 338Canada Federal Projection Update for June 9th 2019.


Popular Vote Projection






Seat Projection





The complete regional breakdown per party can be found on these pages:



Odds of Winning the Most Seats


According to this week's numbers, the Conservatives win the most seats in about six of ten simulations (from a total of 250k simulations performed by the model). The CPC wins a majority of seats in 25% of simulations.





Regional Distribution


The map of the 338 Projection has been updated and is available on this page. Use this list to find your federal electoral district:

Only 134 days until the federal election...

Have a great weekend!




Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.


Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.