According to this poll, the United Conservative Party has a substantial lead over Rachel Notley's NDP:
In fact, the UCP leads by double digits in Calgary and in every other region of Alberta.
Only in Edmonton is the NDP still leading in voting intentions - but by a narrower margin than the 2015 general election results. In 2015, the NDP received over 60% of the vote in greater Edmonton and this polls only measures 47% of support for the governing party (and 36% for the UCP).
I am working on an Alberta model which should be ready this spring. To be continued.
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This poll was conducted November 21st to 26th 2018 with an online panel and has a sample size of 1 102 potential Alberta voters.
Here is the ThinkHQ poll report.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.