Sunday, 2 June 2019

338Canada Federal Projection Update: June 2nd 2019

We add two new polls to the 338 federal model this week: the Nanos weekly update, as well as Abacus Data's fresh new numbers unveiled yesterday.

The model was adjusted to include new independent candidates Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott. Some other minor and routine tweaks were also made to the model.
Here is the 338 Federal Update for June 2nd 2019. The full list of polls can be found on this page.

Seat Projection





The complete regional breakdown per party can be found on these pages:



Odds of Winning the Most Seats


According to this week's numbers, the Conservatives win the most seats in about six of ten simulations (from a total of 250k simulations performed by the model).




Regional Distribution


The map of the 338 Projection has been updated and is available on this page. Use this list to find your federal electoral district:

Only 141 days until the federal election... We should see a flurry of new polls before the start of the summer break.

Have a great weekend!




Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.


Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.