Friday, 12 April 2019

Pollara/Maclean's: UCP 45%, NDP 38%, AP 8%

Polling firms only have three more days to take the pulse of Albertan voters ahead of the 30th Alberta general election next Tuesday. After Angus Reid earlier today, Pollara Strategic Insights published its first Alberta horserace numbers in a poll published by Maclean's magazine (see article by the excellent Jason Markusoff).

Pollara was on the field from April 8th to 10th and collected data from 1,005 Albertan voters. Here are the results:

The United Conservative Party stands at 45% of leaning and decided voters, which is the lowest the UCP has polled since the campaign began (since this is Pollara's first Alberta poll, we have no baseline from comparison).


The NDP's support seem to have stabilized in polls of this past week (with the notable exception of Forum Research). Pollara measures the NDP at 38% (earlier today, Angus Reid polled the NDP at 39%).

The Alberta Party stands at 8% and the Liberals at 4%.

It is interesting to note that this Pollara poll is the only one of late to include the Alberta Independence Party in its tables. The AIP is at 2%, and so is the Freedom Conservative Party. The Green Party of Alberta is at 1%.

Here are the polls since the campaign began:



The full list of polls is available is here.

The 338 Alberta model will be updated overnight. Albertans will be able to see its details in time with their morning coffee.

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Here is the poll report from Pollara.




Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.


Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.